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Union Bancaire Privée : Opportunities for active stock-pickers

2014-06-03 17:57
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GENEVA--()--Japan is the third-largest economy in the world and the outlook for Japanese equities is highly favourable, as they are currently attractively priced, on a relative as well as an absolute basis, thus creating opportunities for active stock-pickers.

The launch of “Abenomics” – which consists of monetary, fiscal and structural reforms to beat deflation and stimulate sustainable growth – has acted as a true catalyst for the Japanese economy and investor sentiment towards Japan is evolving. Thanks to these ambitious reforms, the third arrow of which Prime Minister Abe shot in April with the VAT increase, Japan seems to be recovering from deflation and is steadily shifting towards private sector-led economic growth. After a great year in 2013, Japanese equities have corrected in 2014, underperforming global equity markets – mainly due to short-term players taking profits; but thanks to the success of the reforms, the case for Japanese equities is becoming ever more compelling as valuations remain low. There remains significant mid-term upside potential in the asset class for fundamentals-oriented long-term investors.

Furthermore, as the outlook on Japan’s economy has generally been conservative, domestic and foreign investors alike have been quite sceptical about Abe’s reforms and are only just starting to place their faith in those policies and price in their benefits. The market should therefore continue to rise as more investors acknowledge that the Prime Minister is on the right track, and is supported by his government as well as by most of the Japanese people and companies.

Given the resulting attractive pricing and therefore positive outlook for Japanese equities, UBP decided to partner with SNAM (Sompo Japan Nipponkoa Asset Management), a Tokyo-based fund management firm. Their strategy is based on the conviction that market prices tend to near their intrinsic value over time, although interim discrepancies occur. They thus seek to benefit from those discrepancies through a long-term and disciplined value approach, with no sector or size constraints, capturing either cyclical catalysts such as production and inventory cycles, or one-off catalysts such as restructuring, M&A and share buybacks.

The 11-member team, led by Kenji Ueno, has delivered a strong track record: since its launch in June 2013, the strategy has outperformed the TOPIX by some 8%, and assets under management have increased to USD 485 million.

The information and opinions contained herein were prepared by Union Bancaire Privée, UBP SA (hereinafter, “UBP”).
The information herein was obtained from various sources and is believed by UBP to be reliable but UBP makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. Opinions, estimates and projections in this document constitute the current judgment of the author as of the date of this document and are subject to change without notice. UBP has no obligation to update, modify or amend this document.
This document is provided for information purposes only. It is not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments or to participate in any particular trading strategy in any jurisdiction. The financial instruments discussed in this document may not be suitable for all investors and these materials should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. Investors must make their own investment decisions using their own independent advisors as they believe necessary and based upon their specific financial situation and their investment objectives. Investors should be aware that foreign exchange rates may have a negative effect on the price or value of, or the income derived from, an investment denominated in a foreign currency. Furthermore, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
UBP may make a market in, or may, as principal or agent, buy or sell securities of the companies mentioned in this document or derivatives thereon. UBP may have a financial interest in the companies mentioned in this document, including a long or short position in their securities, and or options, futures or other derivative instruments based thereon.

About Union Bancaire Privée (UBP)
UBP is one of Switzerland’s leading private banks, and is among the best-capitalised, with a Tier I ratio of 29%. The Bank is specialised in the field of wealth management for both private and institutional clients. It is based in Geneva and employs about 1,350 people in some twenty locations worldwide; it held CHF 87.7 billion (USD 98.6 billion) in assets under management as at 31 December 2013.
www.ubp.com

 

Contacts

Union Bancaire Privée
Jérôme Koechlin, Tel: +41 58 819 26 40,
Head of Corporate Communications
e-mail: jko@ubp.ch